Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.464097 8.708993 10.051864 11.602699 13.338731 15.216594 17.395739
2025-04-13 5.913298 7.522891 9.375525 11.647066 14.337629 17.403015 21.138538
2025-04-20 4.998425 6.840226 9.077303 11.955876 15.520064 19.745475 25.086906
2025-04-27 4.289144 6.268312 8.789831 12.173073 16.522697 21.852596 28.795189
2025-05-04 3.653514 5.683177 8.387300 12.157448 17.171237 23.497223 31.955252
2025-05-11 2.969674 4.928052 7.659252 11.616276 17.056533 24.117572 33.796717
2025-05-18 2.523807 4.445291 7.238732 11.426896 17.355176 25.239917 36.280492
2025-05-25 2.132947 3.987790 6.797368 11.151987 17.489802 26.115574 38.435621
2025-06-01 1.837915 3.638298 6.473349 11.005176 17.771097 27.173289 40.842798
2025-06-08 1.557006 3.271071 6.080005 10.712197 17.805574 27.866867 42.749924
2025-06-15 1.391466 3.079490 5.942764 10.791400 18.376002 29.318747 45.738057
2025-06-22 1.220116 2.852350 5.722031 10.715289 18.696268 30.409064 48.234787
2025-06-29 1.100995 2.709179 5.631775 10.844408 19.339196 31.997227 51.504868
2025-07-06 0.994673 2.575550 5.543617 10.965843 19.968180 33.578145 54.803196
2025-07-13 0.928804 2.515459 5.580106 11.295498 20.936218 35.690835 58.931621
2025-07-20 0.855626 2.428822 5.558112 11.518644 21.735876 37.566826 62.753374
2025-07-27 0.763029 2.284494 5.412168 11.510436 22.149532 38.856614 65.725688
2025-08-03 0.628621 2.019026 5.002209 10.995291 21.686517 38.760155 66.590733
2025-08-10 0.544484 1.859250 4.785693 10.815253 21.773649 39.519265 68.767039
2025-08-17 0.464075 1.692820 4.536565 10.552689 21.699277 40.009335 70.529897
2025-08-24 0.403390 1.566711 4.359123 10.412436 21.826722 40.820522 72.803930
2025-08-31 0.340749 1.420756 4.120708 10.132243 21.686000 41.181474 74.368522
2025-09-07 0.308102 1.357189 4.062394 10.208049 22.188581 42.613491 77.662016